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Could a Third-Party Candidate Shake Up the 2024 Presidential Election?

Speculation is swirling around the possibility of a third-party presidential ticket in 2024, fueled by the centrist organization No Labels and whispers about Senator Joe Manchin's potential involvement. While Democrats express concern over a potential "spoiler" effect, No Labels insists it's too early to name any candidates. The organization aims to offer an alternative to a Biden-Trump rematch, a prospect unpopular with many Americans according to national polls.

Senator Manchin, a moderate Democrat known for his occasional clashes with his own party, has neither confirmed nor denied his interest in a presidential run. He acknowledges the public's desire for a "reasonable middle" and criticizes the perceived extremism of both major parties. Manchin's close ties to No Labels, including his role as honorary co-chair alongside Senator Susan Collins, further fuel the speculation.

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No Labels CEO Nancy Jacobson emphasizes that no decisions have been made regarding their potential ticket. Former Senator Joe Lieberman, a No Labels co-founder, has mentioned Manchin, Senator Collins, and former Maryland Governor Larry Hogan as potential candidates given their bipartisan track records. However, with West Virginia's Senate race filing deadline still months away, Manchin remains unhurried in his decision-making.

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Manchin's pivotal role in the Senate, including his influence on the Inflation Reduction Act, has drawn significant attention. A source close to Manchin suggests the senator remains unaffected by the speculation and will likely make his decision after consulting with his family closer to the filing deadline. No Labels is working to secure ballot access in all 50 states, positioning itself to offer a potential alternative if Biden and Trump become the major party nominees. They are currently forming a nominating committee to consider potential candidates.

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Jacobson describes No Labels' effort as an "insurance policy" for voters dissatisfied with a Biden-Trump rematch. She asserts that if their ticket appears to be a "spoiler," they will withdraw. Lieberman reinforces this sentiment, stating that their goal is not to elect either Trump or Biden, but to provide a viable alternative for the American people.